Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.003951 0.004332 0.004742 0.005216 0.005750 0.006335 0.007027
2025-08-24 0.003290 0.003815 0.004419 0.005171 0.006090 0.007184 0.008601
2025-08-31 0.002854 0.003428 0.004118 0.005021 0.006183 0.007649 0.009673
2025-09-07 0.002596 0.003207 0.003969 0.005006 0.006403 0.008254 0.010956
2025-09-14 0.002459 0.003116 0.003962 0.005155 0.006831 0.009158 0.012741
2025-09-21 0.002260 0.002920 0.003794 0.005062 0.006903 0.009560 0.013841
2025-09-28 0.002091 0.002750 0.003641 0.004968 0.006954 0.009922 0.014910
2025-10-05 0.001975 0.002639 0.003559 0.004962 0.007127 0.010475 0.016345
2025-10-12 0.001901 0.002582 0.003545 0.005053 0.007448 0.011287 0.018321
2025-10-19 0.001792 0.002468 0.003438 0.004990 0.007517 0.011690 0.019629
2025-10-26 0.001708 0.002381 0.003366 0.004972 0.007654 0.012216 0.021233
2025-11-02 0.001615 0.002278 0.003261 0.004892 0.007676 0.012539 0.022490
2025-11-09 0.001552 0.002217 0.003220 0.004921 0.007899 0.013269 0.024728
2025-11-16 0.001476 0.002132 0.003138 0.004874 0.007987 0.013766 0.026586
2025-11-23 0.001386 0.002021 0.003007 0.004735 0.007892 0.013899 0.027669
2025-11-30 0.001330 0.001960 0.002952 0.004721 0.008027 0.014495 0.029913
2025-12-07 0.001309 0.001952 0.002983 0.004860 0.008461 0.015753 0.033983
2025-12-14 0.001246 0.001875 0.002892 0.004773 0.008447 0.016068 0.035775
2025-12-21 0.001188 0.001801 0.002806 0.004685 0.008424 0.016357 0.037561
2025-12-28 0.001149 0.001757 0.002765 0.004680 0.008566 0.017032 0.040540
2026-01-04 0.001127 0.001740 0.002771 0.004765 0.008902 0.018194 0.045183
2026-01-11 0.001083 0.001685 0.002706 0.004706 0.008927 0.018624 0.047766
2026-01-18 0.001048 0.001644 0.002664 0.004689 0.009042 0.019290 0.051250